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Cyber, cash & chaos - Why cyber is becoming the Achilles heel of modern deals

15
Oct
2025
5
min read
Cyber, cash & chaos

Cyber risks are no longer just an IT issue. Today, a single incident can bring entire industries to a standstill. When several European airports came to a standstill in September 2025 due to an attack on a service provider, it became clear that a digital incident can bring physical infrastructure to a standstill.

For M&A, private equity and banks, this means that what used to be a side note in technical due diligence can now determine purchase prices, portfolio stability or credit risks.

Pre-deal: If you buy without a cyber check, you're flying blind

The best-known cases show the financial consequences that cyber incidents can have in the transaction context:

  • Yahoo: During the takeover by Verizon, a massive data theft became public - the purchase price fell by 350 million US dollars.
  • Equifax: An unpatched vulnerability led to one of the largest data leaks - with subsequent costs of around 800 million US dollars.
  • Marriott-Starwood: More than 500 million guest data were compromised - penalties, lawsuits and considerable loss of reputation followed.

These cases are no longer an exception. They show that Cyber is a financial risk factor - comparable to an additional balance sheet item. And this doesn't just apply to large corporations. Medium-sized companies are particularly vulnerable: outdated systems, shadow IT, stolen access on the darknet. There is also a new risk: personal attacks on CEOs - from deepfakes to false narratives that can destroy trust overnight.

Post deal: A PortCo can cause the fund to falter

Pressure continues to rise in the private equity environment. A single PortCo with a critical vulnerability can destabilize entire funds - especially in the buy-and-build model. With every takeover, not only the balance sheet grows, but also the digital attack surface.

The latest cases speak for themselves:

  • CrowdStrike outage: A faulty update paralyzed Windows systems worldwide - with a massive impact on portfolios.
  • Snowflake leaks: data leaks hit banks, retailers and service providers simultaneously - with domino effects in supply chains.

Cyber incidents rarely stop the entire deal - but they shift conditions, delay closing processes and lead to price discounts. Portfolio transparency thus becomes a question of survival.

Banks: Cyber is the new credit risk

Even banks can no longer dismiss cyber as a technology issue. A hacked PortCo can lead to a loan default within a very short time. Regulators are already reacting:

  • NIS2: Obliges over 30,000 companies to check supply chains and critical partners for cyber risks.
  • DORA: Requires end-to-end cyber risk management in the financial sector - including external service providers.

Cyber is thus becoming a factor in credit checks and financing - just like creditworthiness and cash flow.

IP & reputation: The invisible assets in risk

Cyber attacks no longer only affect firewalls:

  • Intellectual property - source code, technical documentation or research results - can be stolen directly.
  • Reputation - a CEO who is defamed on the darknet can lose trust and market value within hours.

Every company with Internet access is potentially affected - regardless of size or sector.

From podcast to practical case: How small the leak can be

In the Merge with Caution podcast, an example from everyday life was given: Tailgating - someone holds the door open in the office and a stranger has access. No hack, no malware. Just a little carelessness - with potentially ruinous consequences.

The lesson: Cyber doesn't start in the data center, but in everyday life. And small mistakes lead to major damage - especially during ongoing deals.

Learning from the insurance industry

Cyber insurers have been working with outside-in ratings for years in order to assess risks on the basis of facts. Why?

  • Real-time analysis instead of months of testing
  • No system interventions necessary (non-intrusive)
  • Focus on relevance - no overloading, clear priorities

What has proven itself in underwriting is now becoming relevant for M&A, PE and banks.

Conclusion: Cyber, cash & chaos - and a question of transparency

Cyber rarely brings deals to a standstill - but it does shake them up. Price markdowns, exit problems, regulatory consequences, loss of trust: all real consequences.

The key question today is: How quickly can you gain transparency about the cyber risk of a target or PortCo?

This is exactly where solutions like cysmo® come in. Since 2017, outside-in ratings have enabled an assessment within minutes - without any prior technical knowledge, at the touch of a button and for companies of any size. You can see immediately:

  • Was the company attacked?
  • Where are the biggest gaps?
  • What are the financial risks?

Cyber is therefore not a showstopper, but a controllable factor - from the individual case to the overall portfolio.

This is a guest article by Hannah Victoria Groß, Chief Digital Officer at cysmo.

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